Securing Critical Infrastructure Operations Ch. 04: Named Threat Patterns Report Chapters Securing Critical Infrastructure Operations Report Landing Hub 01 Overview 02 Distributed Operations 03 The Expanding Access Surface 04 Named Threat Patterns 05 Quantum-Ready Access 06 Agent Proliferation 07 From Zero Trust Remote Access to Secure Operations 08 Vertical Outcomes 09 Operator Call to Action 04 CHAPTER 04 2026 Report Named Threats Show a Common Access-Path Pattern What real-world threats reveal about access abuse, trusted pathways, and operational exposure. Threat Landscape Adversaries Don’t Chase Vulnerabilities, They Chase Pathways Volt Typhoon, CyberAv3ngers, and Sandworm show that legitimate remote access channels, valid logins, and trusted administration paths are the decisive control points. Industry reports often present critical infrastructure threat campaigns as tales of sophisticated, custom-engineered malware designed to disable controllers or trip physical safety systems. While specialized tooling exists, recent threat intelligence reveals a much simpler and more pervasive pattern: adversaries increasingly persist inside environments by abusing the legitimate access pathways operators depend on. Rather than developing complex local exploits, threat actors compromise exposed remote access infrastructure, guess default credentials on unmanaged gateways, and weaponize edge-device vulnerabilities to establish a foothold. Authoritative joint advisories from the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA), the NSA, and the FBI clearly define this tactical shift. Recent guidance, including joint advisories detailing the “Living Off the Land” techniques of state-sponsored groups like Volt Typhoon. ” “The login may be valid but the interaction must be monitored and controlled anyway.” This highlights how attackers evade detection by using built-in network administration tools rather than deploying custom malware. By exploiting unmanaged vendor VPNs, compromised contractor credentials, or unpatched routers, adversaries leverage broad network trust to move laterally and blend their malicious activity with normal system administration. The risk is compounded by aging infrastructure at the network perimeter. Recognizing this severe vulnerability, CISA issued Binding Operational Directive 26-02 in early 2026, mandating the immediate inventory, remediation, and replacement of end-of-support edge devices, including firewalls, routers, and VPN gateways. Because legacy edge devices sit at the network boundary and are often internet-facing, exploiting a single known vulnerability on an unsupported gateway grants threat actors direct access to the operational technology interior. Industry reports often present critical infrastructure threat campaigns as tales of sophisticated, custom-engineered malware designed to disable controllers or trip physical safety systems. While specialized tooling exists, recent threat intelligence reveals a much simpler and more pervasive pattern: adversaries increasingly persist inside environments by abusing the legitimate access pathways operators depend on. Rather than developing complex local exploits, threat actors compromise exposed remote access infrastructure, guess default credentials on unmanaged gateways, and weaponize edge-device vulnerabilities to establish a foothold. Authoritative joint advisories from the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA), the NSA, and the FBI clearly define this tactical shift. Recent guidance including joint advisories detailing the “Living Off the Land” techniques of state-sponsored groups like Volt Typhoon. This highlights how attackers evade detection by using built-in network administration tools rather than deploying custom malware. By exploiting unmanaged vendor VPNs, compromised contractor credentials, or unpatched routers, adversaries leverage broad network trust to move laterally and blend their malicious activity with normal system administration. The risk is compounded by aging infrastructure at the network perimeter. Recognizing this severe vulnerability, CISA issued Binding Operational Directive 26-02 in early 2026, mandating the immediate inventory, remediation, and replacement of end-of-support edge devices, including firewalls, routers, and VPN gateways. Because legacy edge devices sit at the network boundary and are often internet-facing, exploiting a single known vulnerability on an unsupported gateway grants threat actors direct access to the operational technology interior. Key Findings Pathways are the target Attackers exploit exposed remote access gateways, unmonitored vendor pathways, and shared credentials. Stealth through legitimacy Using living-off-the-land techniques allows adversaries to hide their footprint within normal administrative activity. Blast radius is too large Broad network trust allows attackers to move laterally from IT or remote support systems into sensitive OT networks. Access is the control point Mitigating threat risk requires constraining what authenticated accounts can reach and do. Drag or scroll horizontally to explore each threat profile} INTEL 01 Volt Typhoon / Voltzite Pattern: Valid credentials, living off the land, persistent access, pre-positioning Real-World Grounding CISA, NSA, FBI, and Five Eyes partners co-authored joint advisory AA24-038A, which warned that PRC state-sponsored actors maintained persistent access to U.S. critical infrastructure. Dragos observed Voltzite conducting active reconnaissance of electric power infrastructure. Why It Matters Attackers target the remote gateways, VPNs, and credentials used to manage smart buildings and distributed facilities, bypassing traditional perimeter defenses. Access-Control Lesson Do not treat authentication as the finish line. Govern the operational interaction after login: constrain which resources, sessions, and privileges the account can access. INTEL 02 CyberAv3ngers / IRGC-Affiliated Activity Pattern: Exposed OT devices, default passwords, weak remote access hygiene Real-World Grounding CISA warned that Iranian government-affiliated actors targeted Unitronics PLCs across water and wastewater sectors by exploiting default passwords on devices connected directly to the open internet. Why It Matters Operators frequently place operational systems like building automation controllers (BAS/BMS) online for ease of remote support, exposing them to automated scans. Access-Control Lesson Remote access should never mean “reachable from anywhere.” Disconnect devices from the public internet and require explicit, identity-based, brokered sessions. INTEL 03 Sandworm / Ukraine Power Disruption Pattern: OT-level living off the land, trusted operational pathways, cyber-physical impact Real-World Grounding Mandiant reported that Sandworm used native OT-level command interfaces and legitimate SCADA configurations to trip circuit breakers at a Ukrainian electrical substation, causing a power outage. Why It Matters Attackers can abuse legitimate engineering tools, remote desktops, or HVAC/lighting commands to trigger physical disruptions without introducing any malware. Access-Control Lesson Govern not only who can connect, but what specific actions and commands they can execute during their session. INTEL 04 INCONTROLLER / PIPEDREAM Pattern: Custom ICS tools, full-system access, post-compromise control Real-World Grounding CISA, DOE, NSA, and FBI warned that threat actors had developed custom tools capable of scanning, compromising, and controlling Schneider Electric PLCs, OMRON PLCs, and OPC UA servers. Why It Matters The most dangerous industrial tools only become effective once an attacker has established a foothold. Access pathways are the bridge that lets these tools reach the physical edge. Access-Control Lesson Constrain network reach and segment sessions before specialized tooling can interact with sensitive field controllers. INTEL 05 ALPHV / BlackCat & Change Healthcare Pattern: Stolen credentials, remote access portals, missing MFA, lateral movement Real-World Grounding Adversaries used stolen credentials to log into a Change Healthcare Citrix remote access portal that lacked MFA, moving laterally across the environment for nine days before deploying ransomware. Why It Matters Operational downtime often originates in IT or administrative remote access systems rather than a direct OT device hack. Systemic dependency creates broad blast radiuses. Access-Control Lesson Secure all remote access pathways with MFA, least-privilege constraints, and full session visibility to prevent a single stolen credential from compromising the organization. INTEL 06 CL0P / MOVEit Pattern: Vulnerable file transfer platforms, third-party data exposure, extortion Real-World Grounding CISA and the FBI issued advisories on CL0P’s exploitation of MOVEit Transfer vulnerabilities, demonstrating how a single vulnerable platform can compromise data and relationships across hundreds of downstream organizations. Why It Matters Smart buildings rely on data sharing, analytics pipelines, and vendor cloud portals that represent indirect third-party access paths. Access-Control Lesson Extend access governance to applications, integrations, and automated data flows—not just human users. Next: Quantum-Ready Access Resiliency for the Next Operational Decade You should have your Quantum Ready solutions in place before the end of 2027. Updating those at every edge is a challenge that merits decisions and action this year. Revisit the Threat Profiles